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Cash Forecast Error Reconciliation Table

Reconcile receipt and payment errors with closing cash across five scenarios, keeping each sign and percentage denominator explicit.

By PriceAndProfit Editorial Updated

This reference holds opening cash at $5,000, forecast receipts at $20,000 and forecast payments at $15,000. Forecast closing cash is therefore $10,000. Each row changes actual receipts, payments or both. Differences are actual minus forecast. A positive payment difference is an extra outflow and consequently lowers closing cash; its sign must be reversed in the closing-balance bridge.

Closing cash error = receipt error − payment error; actual closing = $10,000 + closing cash error
Hypothetical inputs and independently checked arithmetic
Actual receiptsActual paymentsReceipt errorPayment errorClosing cash errorActual closing cash
$20,000 $15,000 $0 $0 $0 $10,000
$18,000 $15,000 −$2,000 $0 −$2,000 $8,000
$20,000 $16,000 $0 $1,000 −$1,000 $9,000
$18,000 $16,000 −$2,000 $1,000 −$3,000 $7,000
$22,000 $14,000 $2,000 −$1,000 $3,000 $13,000

Interpret the result

The last row produces more closing cash than forecast, but the favorable sign does not identify the cause. A supplier payment that was delayed can improve cash while leaving an obligation due next week. Likewise, an early customer receipt can reverse in the next period. Explain timing shifts separately from permanent volume or price changes before updating assumptions.

Check before applying the example

Reconcile opening balances first. If actual opening cash differs from the forecast opening, its error belongs in the bridge as another component. Percentage errors use their own forecast denominator: a $2,000 receipt miss is 10% of $20,000 receipts, while a $1,000 payment excess is approximately 6.67% of $15,000 payments. Ratios with a zero forecast denominator remain undefined.

Use your own inputs

The calculator uses the same stated decision boundary.

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    Cash Forecast Error Calculator

    Reconcile actual closing cash against a forecast using signed receipt and payment differences, with explicit…

Method reference: OpenStax: Flexible Budgets. Checked October 22, 2026. Comparison of assumptions and actual activity; no prediction or recommended error threshold.

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